Ground Truth

In the summer of 2024, more than 62,000 people died from heat across Europe, many on days when air temperature readings seemed fine. Air temperature sensors sit in the shade. The ground does not. This is its story.

DSC 106 Final Project · Spring 2026

▶ See It in Action

What you're looking at

You're looking at readings from Terra, a NASA satellite that has been measuring the temperature of the ground itself. Not the air, but the sand, rock, forest canopy, and asphalt every month for 21 years. Land surface temperature is what the planet is actually radiating, and it catches things that weather stations miss: the heat of remote deserts, scorching parking lots, and forests that have no one keeping track.

Air temperature, the number you hear on the news, is taken a few feet off the ground in a shaded, ventilated box. It is a comfortable proxy for what a human body feels in the shade. Land surface temperature is the opposite. It is the raw temperature of the surface in full sun, which is why a desert floor can read 70°C while the air above it sits at a survivable 45°C. That gap is where the danger lives, and it is invisible to a thermometer in a box.

For two decades, this surface record has been quietly accumulating in NASA archives, mostly unread by anyone outside a research lab. Below, you can explore it yourself. Start with a single month.

Explore the Map

Select a time period to load global land surface temperature data. Hover anywhere on the map to read the exact temperature at that location. Warmer ground is red, cooler ground is blue. Try switching between a Northern Hemisphere summer and a Southern one and watch the heat slide across the equator.

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Land surface temperature measured by NASA's Terra satellite (MODIS MOD11C3, 5 km resolution). Ocean and sensor-error pixels masked.

But a map of a single month is almost useless on its own. It shows you where it is hot, not whether it is getting hotter. A desert is supposed to be hot in summer; that tells you nothing about climate change. The only way to separate the signal from the seasons is to compare the same place across time, and to focus on the moments that actually broke records.

And most of this data sits unexamined: the moments that matter are not average months, they are the outliers, the summers that killed tens of thousands, the heat domes that melted power grids, the weeks that rewrote mortality records. Air temperature gets reported; ground temperature does not. Air is measured at sheltered stations that systematically undercount the heat that actually reaches human bodies, crops, and infrastructure. The ground tells a different story. To find it, you have to look at the specific moments when heat crossed from inconvenience into catastrophe.

When the Earth Burned

Click any event below to jump to that time period and see the heat signature that corresponded with extreme weather events. Every spike in temperature represents lives disrupted, displaced, or lost. These are not abstract data points. Behind each one is a hospital that filled, a crop that failed, a grid that buckled, a community that grieved.

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Select an event above to highlight it on the map.

Note: During the July 2024 heatwave, ground temperatures in parts of North Africa and the Middle East breached critical thresholds, creating severe thermal environments well before air sensors fully registered the peak. Select the July 2024 event above to see the signature.

Heat events make the news for a week, then disappear. But the ground remembers. The danger with single events is that any one of them can be dismissed as a freak occurrence, a bad year, weather rather than climate. The way to push past that is to put two periods next to each other and look.

Is July 2024 actually hotter than July 2003? Is a Northern Hemisphere summer hotter than a Southern one? The data has a cleaner answer than the headlines do. Pick any two periods and find out.

Compare Side by Side

Load two time periods simultaneously and hover over either map. Both will highlight the same location so you can directly compare temperatures across time. Move your cursor slowly across a hot region and watch how the two numbers diverge, sometimes by a little, sometimes by a lot.

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July 2020
July 2024
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Therefore the question is not just what the colors look like side by side. Two red maps can hide a meaningful difference, because the eye is bad at judging small shifts in shade. We need to stop looking at absolute temperature and start looking at departure: not how hot it is, but how much hotter it has become.

Two degrees warmer on a color scale looks like a slightly redder pixel. In the Sahel or the Arabian Peninsula, it looks like a summer that kills. The anomaly map makes that shift impossible to miss. By subtracting one period from another, it erases everything the two months have in common and leaves only the change. It shows exactly where the ground has stopped cooling down, where the climate buffer has collapsed, and where the change is no longer a projection. It has already happened.

How Much Has It Changed?

The anomaly map shows the difference in temperature between two time periods. Red means warmer, blue means cooler, and white means almost no change. This removes the seasonal baseline and reveals where the planet has actually shifted. Choosing two of the same season, such as July to July, isolates long-term warming from the ordinary swing between winter and summer.

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Select two time periods above and click Show Anomaly

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+15°C warmer

Try this: Set the baseline to July 2003 and compare to July 2024. The dark red band across Russia and Central Asia is where the ground has shifted most. In the summer of 2010, a 44-day heatwave killed 56,000 people across Russia, many of them outdoor workers and elderly people with no access to cooling. Air temperatures barely registered what the ground already knew. That region is now warmer still, and the people most exposed to it are still the ones least likely to have a thermometer nearby.

The warming is not uniform. The Sahara, the Middle East, South Asia: places where people work outside, where air conditioning is not an option, where a two-degree shift in ground temperature is the difference between a hard summer and a deadly one. A flat map can make these regions feel distant from one another, separated by the edges of the projection. They are not. They are a continuous belt of heat wrapping the middle of the planet.

From space, 21 years compress into a single view. The pattern is not a line on a chart. It is geography.

A View From Space

Look at the data through a rotating globe. Drag to rotate, scroll to zoom. Spin it toward the equator and the warming belt becomes one unbroken ring, the way Terra actually sees it on every pass.

Click and drag to rotate · Scroll to zoom

What this means

The one thing to know: the places already hottest are warming fastest — and a static chart can't show you where, or by how much. Ground Truth can, because it puts 21 years of actual satellite data in your hands, pixel by pixel, region by region. You're not reading about warming. You're seeing it. And air temperatures don't tell the whole story — what you feel standing outside is not what the ground beneath you is radiating. Be careful about trusting averages when the extremes are what kill.

None of this is a forecast. It is measurement. The satellite did not model what might happen; it recorded what did. That is what makes surface temperature such an unforgiving witness. It cannot be argued with, only read.

The data was sourced from NASA's MODIS MOD11C3 dataset, monthly land surface temperature composites at 5 km resolution spanning 2003 to 2024. Raw files were converted from Kelvin to Celsius, invalid pixels were masked, and the grid was downsampled from 26 million to 400,000 cells for smooth rendering in the browser. The maps are drawn with HTML5 Canvas and the globe with Three.js, with no mapping library.

What you can do

Stay informed with NASA Climate, which tracks these changes in real time. Support heat relief through organizations like the Red Cross, which runs cooling centers and emergency aid during heat events. And advocate locally: urban heat hits low-income neighborhoods hardest, so cooling access and green infrastructure are policy questions, not just environmental ones.